Sungrow Power (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 72.66
| 300274 Stock | 78.51 0.26 0.33% |
Sungrow |
Sungrow Power Target Price Odds to finish below 72.66
The tendency of Sungrow Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 72.66 or more in 90 days |
| 78.51 | 90 days | 72.66 | about 6.16 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sungrow Power to drop to 72.66 or more in 90 days from now is about 6.16 (This Sungrow Power Supply probability density function shows the probability of Sungrow Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sungrow Power Supply price to stay between 72.66 and its current price of 78.51 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.71 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sungrow Power Supply has a beta of -0.29. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sungrow Power are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sungrow Power Supply is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sungrow Power Supply has an alpha of 0.1647, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Sungrow Power Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sungrow Power
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sungrow Power Supply. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sungrow Power Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sungrow Power is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sungrow Power's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sungrow Power Supply, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sungrow Power within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
Sungrow Power Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sungrow Power for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sungrow Power Supply can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sungrow Power Supply had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Sungrow Power Supply is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 35.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Sungrow Power Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sungrow Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sungrow Power's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sungrow Power's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.1 B |
Sungrow Power Technical Analysis
Sungrow Power's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sungrow Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sungrow Power Supply. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sungrow Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sungrow Power Predictive Forecast Models
Sungrow Power's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sungrow Power's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sungrow Power's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sungrow Power Supply
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sungrow Power for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sungrow Power Supply help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sungrow Power Supply had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Sungrow Power Supply is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 35.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Sungrow Stock
Sungrow Power financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sungrow Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sungrow with respect to the benefits of owning Sungrow Power security.