Shenyang Blue (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.21

300293 Stock   28.10  0.15  0.54%   
Shenyang Blue's future price is the expected price of Shenyang Blue instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Shenyang Blue Silver performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Shenyang Blue Backtesting, Shenyang Blue Valuation, Shenyang Blue Correlation, Shenyang Blue Hype Analysis, Shenyang Blue Volatility, Shenyang Blue History as well as Shenyang Blue Performance.
  
Please specify Shenyang Blue's target price for which you would like Shenyang Blue odds to be computed.

Shenyang Blue Target Price Odds to finish over 16.21

The tendency of Shenyang Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  16.21  in 90 days
 28.10 90 days 16.21 
about 92.39
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shenyang Blue to stay above  16.21  in 90 days from now is about 92.39 (This Shenyang Blue Silver probability density function shows the probability of Shenyang Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Shenyang Blue Silver price to stay between  16.21  and its current price of 28.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 59.2 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Shenyang Blue has a beta of 0.13. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Shenyang Blue average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Shenyang Blue Silver will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover Shenyang Blue Silver has an alpha of 1.0101, implying that it can generate a 1.01 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Shenyang Blue Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Shenyang Blue

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shenyang Blue Silver. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.6828.3734.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.8526.5432.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22.0527.7333.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.0727.4928.91
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shenyang Blue. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shenyang Blue's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shenyang Blue's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Shenyang Blue Silver.

Shenyang Blue Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shenyang Blue is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shenyang Blue's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shenyang Blue Silver, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shenyang Blue within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
6.37
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

Shenyang Blue Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shenyang Blue for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shenyang Blue Silver can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Shenyang Blue Silver is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Shenyang Blue Silver appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 1.44 B. Net Loss for the year was (20.98 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 278.37 M.
About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Shenyang. 8th Mar, 2023. Eric Moreland of Liaoning Flying Leopards - Oficjalny Portal Gminy Brzesko

Shenyang Blue Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shenyang Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shenyang Blue's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shenyang Blue's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding338.4 M

Shenyang Blue Technical Analysis

Shenyang Blue's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Shenyang Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Shenyang Blue Silver. In general, you should focus on analyzing Shenyang Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Shenyang Blue Predictive Forecast Models

Shenyang Blue's time-series forecasting models is one of many Shenyang Blue's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shenyang Blue's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Shenyang Blue Silver

Checking the ongoing alerts about Shenyang Blue for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Shenyang Blue Silver help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Shenyang Blue Silver is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Shenyang Blue Silver appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 1.44 B. Net Loss for the year was (20.98 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 278.37 M.
About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Shenyang. 8th Mar, 2023. Eric Moreland of Liaoning Flying Leopards - Oficjalny Portal Gminy Brzesko

Other Information on Investing in Shenyang Stock

Shenyang Blue financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shenyang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shenyang with respect to the benefits of owning Shenyang Blue security.