Sino Wealth (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 24.12

300327 Stock   25.37  0.50  2.01%   
Sino Wealth's future price is the expected price of Sino Wealth instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sino Wealth Electronic performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sino Wealth Backtesting, Sino Wealth Valuation, Sino Wealth Correlation, Sino Wealth Hype Analysis, Sino Wealth Volatility, Sino Wealth History as well as Sino Wealth Performance.
  
Please specify Sino Wealth's target price for which you would like Sino Wealth odds to be computed.

Sino Wealth Target Price Odds to finish over 24.12

The tendency of Sino Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  24.12  in 90 days
 25.37 90 days 24.12 
about 35.72
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sino Wealth to stay above  24.12  in 90 days from now is about 35.72 (This Sino Wealth Electronic probability density function shows the probability of Sino Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sino Wealth Electronic price to stay between  24.12  and its current price of 25.37 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.6 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sino Wealth Electronic has a beta of -0.0543. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sino Wealth are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sino Wealth Electronic is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sino Wealth Electronic has an alpha of 0.5934, implying that it can generate a 0.59 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sino Wealth Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sino Wealth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sino Wealth Electronic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.4925.3730.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.4720.3527.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.7924.6829.56
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.250.250.25
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sino Wealth. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sino Wealth's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sino Wealth's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sino Wealth Electronic.

Sino Wealth Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sino Wealth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sino Wealth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sino Wealth Electronic, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sino Wealth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.59
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
4.10
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Sino Wealth Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sino Wealth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sino Wealth Electronic can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sino Wealth appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Sino Wealth is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Sino Wealth generates negative cash flow from operations
About 27.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Sino Wealth Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sino Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sino Wealth's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sino Wealth's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding338.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments401.2 M

Sino Wealth Technical Analysis

Sino Wealth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sino Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sino Wealth Electronic. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sino Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sino Wealth Predictive Forecast Models

Sino Wealth's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sino Wealth's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sino Wealth's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sino Wealth Electronic

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sino Wealth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sino Wealth Electronic help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sino Wealth appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Sino Wealth is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Sino Wealth generates negative cash flow from operations
About 27.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Sino Stock

Sino Wealth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sino Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sino with respect to the benefits of owning Sino Wealth security.