Wuxi Lead (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 24.58

300450 Stock   23.62  0.26  1.11%   
Wuxi Lead's future price is the expected price of Wuxi Lead instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wuxi Lead Auto performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wuxi Lead Backtesting, Wuxi Lead Valuation, Wuxi Lead Correlation, Wuxi Lead Hype Analysis, Wuxi Lead Volatility, Wuxi Lead History as well as Wuxi Lead Performance.
  
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Wuxi Lead Target Price Odds to finish over 24.58

The tendency of Wuxi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  24.58  or more in 90 days
 23.62 90 days 24.58 
about 6.63
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wuxi Lead to move over  24.58  or more in 90 days from now is about 6.63 (This Wuxi Lead Auto probability density function shows the probability of Wuxi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wuxi Lead Auto price to stay between its current price of  23.62  and  24.58  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Wuxi Lead has a beta of 0.23. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Wuxi Lead average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Wuxi Lead Auto will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Wuxi Lead Auto has an alpha of 0.7897, implying that it can generate a 0.79 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Wuxi Lead Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wuxi Lead

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wuxi Lead Auto. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.4624.4630.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.4018.4024.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.8120.8126.81
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.240.240.24
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Wuxi Lead. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Wuxi Lead's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Wuxi Lead's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Wuxi Lead Auto.

Wuxi Lead Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wuxi Lead is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wuxi Lead's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wuxi Lead Auto, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wuxi Lead within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.79
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.23
σ
Overall volatility
4.09
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Wuxi Lead Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wuxi Lead for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wuxi Lead Auto can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wuxi Lead Auto is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Wuxi Lead Auto appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Wuxi Lead Auto has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Wuxi Lead generates negative cash flow from operations
About 39.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: HSI Dips 125 pts at Midday as WUXI Series, Autos Sold off ZHONGSHENG HLDG Swells 7 - AASTOCKS.com

Wuxi Lead Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wuxi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wuxi Lead's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wuxi Lead's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.6 B

Wuxi Lead Technical Analysis

Wuxi Lead's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wuxi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wuxi Lead Auto. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wuxi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wuxi Lead Predictive Forecast Models

Wuxi Lead's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wuxi Lead's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wuxi Lead's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wuxi Lead Auto

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wuxi Lead for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wuxi Lead Auto help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wuxi Lead Auto is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Wuxi Lead Auto appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Wuxi Lead Auto has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Wuxi Lead generates negative cash flow from operations
About 39.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: HSI Dips 125 pts at Midday as WUXI Series, Autos Sold off ZHONGSHENG HLDG Swells 7 - AASTOCKS.com

Other Information on Investing in Wuxi Stock

Wuxi Lead financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wuxi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wuxi with respect to the benefits of owning Wuxi Lead security.