Xian Sunresin (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 49.46

300487 Stock   55.27  2.08  3.91%   
Xian Sunresin's future price is the expected price of Xian Sunresin instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Xian Sunresin New performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Xian Sunresin Backtesting, Xian Sunresin Valuation, Xian Sunresin Correlation, Xian Sunresin Hype Analysis, Xian Sunresin Volatility, Xian Sunresin History as well as Xian Sunresin Performance.
  
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Xian Sunresin Target Price Odds to finish over 49.46

The tendency of Xian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  49.46  in 90 days
 55.27 90 days 49.46 
about 43.15
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Xian Sunresin to stay above  49.46  in 90 days from now is about 43.15 (This Xian Sunresin New probability density function shows the probability of Xian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Xian Sunresin New price to stay between  49.46  and its current price of 55.27 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.4 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Xian Sunresin New has a beta of -0.0771. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Xian Sunresin are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Xian Sunresin New is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Xian Sunresin New has an alpha of 0.6242, implying that it can generate a 0.62 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Xian Sunresin Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Xian Sunresin

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xian Sunresin New. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
51.1955.2759.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
40.6344.7160.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
47.6651.7455.83
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.450.450.45
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Xian Sunresin. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Xian Sunresin's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Xian Sunresin's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Xian Sunresin New.

Xian Sunresin Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Xian Sunresin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Xian Sunresin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Xian Sunresin New, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Xian Sunresin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.62
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.08
σ
Overall volatility
6.32
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Xian Sunresin Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Xian Sunresin for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Xian Sunresin New can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Xian Sunresin New appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Xian Sunresin New is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 54.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Xian Sunresin Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Xian Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Xian Sunresin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xian Sunresin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding508.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.3 B

Xian Sunresin Technical Analysis

Xian Sunresin's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Xian Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Xian Sunresin New. In general, you should focus on analyzing Xian Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Xian Sunresin Predictive Forecast Models

Xian Sunresin's time-series forecasting models is one of many Xian Sunresin's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Xian Sunresin's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Xian Sunresin New

Checking the ongoing alerts about Xian Sunresin for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Xian Sunresin New help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Xian Sunresin New appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Xian Sunresin New is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 54.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Xian Stock

Xian Sunresin financial ratios help investors to determine whether Xian Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Xian with respect to the benefits of owning Xian Sunresin security.