Getac Technology (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 96.80
| 3005 Stock | TWD 106.00 2.00 1.92% |
Getac |
Getac Technology Target Price Odds to finish below 96.80
The tendency of Getac Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 96.80 or more in 90 days |
| 106.00 | 90 days | 96.80 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Getac Technology to drop to NT$ 96.80 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Getac Technology Corp probability density function shows the probability of Getac Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Getac Technology Corp price to stay between NT$ 96.80 and its current price of NT$106.0 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.06 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Getac Technology Corp has a beta of -0.12. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Getac Technology are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Getac Technology Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Getac Technology Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Getac Technology Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Getac Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Getac Technology Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Getac Technology Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Getac Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Getac Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Getac Technology Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Getac Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Getac Technology Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Getac Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Getac Technology Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Getac Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 37.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Getac Technology Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Getac Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Getac Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Getac Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 597.7 M |
Getac Technology Technical Analysis
Getac Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Getac Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Getac Technology Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Getac Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Getac Technology Predictive Forecast Models
Getac Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Getac Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Getac Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Getac Technology Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Getac Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Getac Technology Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Getac Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 37.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Getac Stock Analysis
When running Getac Technology's price analysis, check to measure Getac Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Getac Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Getac Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Getac Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Getac Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Getac Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.