Lootom Telcovideo (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.6

300555 Stock   9.10  0.44  4.61%   
Lootom Telcovideo's future price is the expected price of Lootom Telcovideo instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lootom Telcovideo Network performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lootom Telcovideo Backtesting, Lootom Telcovideo Valuation, Lootom Telcovideo Correlation, Lootom Telcovideo Hype Analysis, Lootom Telcovideo Volatility, Lootom Telcovideo History as well as Lootom Telcovideo Performance.
  
Please specify Lootom Telcovideo's target price for which you would like Lootom Telcovideo odds to be computed.

Lootom Telcovideo Target Price Odds to finish below 8.6

The tendency of Lootom Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  8.60  or more in 90 days
 9.10 90 days 8.60 
about 90.35
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lootom Telcovideo to drop to  8.60  or more in 90 days from now is about 90.35 (This Lootom Telcovideo Network probability density function shows the probability of Lootom Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lootom Telcovideo Network price to stay between  8.60  and its current price of 9.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.24 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lootom Telcovideo has a beta of 0.0178. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Lootom Telcovideo average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lootom Telcovideo Network will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lootom Telcovideo Network has an alpha of 0.6827, implying that it can generate a 0.68 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Lootom Telcovideo Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lootom Telcovideo

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lootom Telcovideo Network. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.249.0012.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.658.4112.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.4510.2113.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.568.039.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lootom Telcovideo. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lootom Telcovideo's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lootom Telcovideo's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Lootom Telcovideo Network.

Lootom Telcovideo Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lootom Telcovideo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lootom Telcovideo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lootom Telcovideo Network, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lootom Telcovideo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.68
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.95
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Lootom Telcovideo Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lootom Telcovideo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lootom Telcovideo Network can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lootom Telcovideo appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 182.11 M. Net Loss for the year was (34.46 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 47.44 M.
Lootom Telcovideo generates negative cash flow from operations
About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Lootom Telcovideo Network five-year losses have grown faster than shareholder returns have fallen, but the stock jumps 11 percent this past week - Simply Wall St

Lootom Telcovideo Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lootom Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lootom Telcovideo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lootom Telcovideo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding200 M

Lootom Telcovideo Technical Analysis

Lootom Telcovideo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lootom Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lootom Telcovideo Network. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lootom Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lootom Telcovideo Predictive Forecast Models

Lootom Telcovideo's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lootom Telcovideo's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lootom Telcovideo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lootom Telcovideo Network

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lootom Telcovideo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lootom Telcovideo Network help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lootom Telcovideo appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 182.11 M. Net Loss for the year was (34.46 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 47.44 M.
Lootom Telcovideo generates negative cash flow from operations
About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Lootom Telcovideo Network five-year losses have grown faster than shareholder returns have fallen, but the stock jumps 11 percent this past week - Simply Wall St

Other Information on Investing in Lootom Stock

Lootom Telcovideo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lootom Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lootom with respect to the benefits of owning Lootom Telcovideo security.