Weihai Guangwei (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 31.95

300699 Stock   34.62  0.70  2.06%   
Weihai Guangwei's future price is the expected price of Weihai Guangwei instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Weihai Guangwei Composites performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Weihai Guangwei Backtesting, Weihai Guangwei Valuation, Weihai Guangwei Correlation, Weihai Guangwei Hype Analysis, Weihai Guangwei Volatility, Weihai Guangwei History as well as Weihai Guangwei Performance.
  
Please specify Weihai Guangwei's target price for which you would like Weihai Guangwei odds to be computed.

Weihai Guangwei Target Price Odds to finish over 31.95

The tendency of Weihai Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  31.95  in 90 days
 34.62 90 days 31.95 
about 47.53
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Weihai Guangwei to stay above  31.95  in 90 days from now is about 47.53 (This Weihai Guangwei Composites probability density function shows the probability of Weihai Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Weihai Guangwei Comp price to stay between  31.95  and its current price of 34.62 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.26 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Weihai Guangwei Composites has a beta of -0.49. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Weihai Guangwei are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Weihai Guangwei Composites is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Weihai Guangwei Composites has an alpha of 0.547, implying that it can generate a 0.55 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Weihai Guangwei Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Weihai Guangwei

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Weihai Guangwei Comp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.9134.8838.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.3128.2838.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
29.5433.5237.49
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.260.270.28
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Weihai Guangwei. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Weihai Guangwei's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Weihai Guangwei's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Weihai Guangwei Comp.

Weihai Guangwei Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Weihai Guangwei is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Weihai Guangwei's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Weihai Guangwei Composites, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Weihai Guangwei within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.55
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.49
σ
Overall volatility
4.20
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Weihai Guangwei Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Weihai Guangwei for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Weihai Guangwei Comp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Weihai Guangwei Comp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Weihai Guangwei Comp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 41.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Carbon Fiber in Sports Equipment Market Size, Share and Trends Report 2024-2032 - Libero

Weihai Guangwei Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Weihai Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Weihai Guangwei's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Weihai Guangwei's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding831.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.1 B

Weihai Guangwei Technical Analysis

Weihai Guangwei's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Weihai Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Weihai Guangwei Composites. In general, you should focus on analyzing Weihai Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Weihai Guangwei Predictive Forecast Models

Weihai Guangwei's time-series forecasting models is one of many Weihai Guangwei's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Weihai Guangwei's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Weihai Guangwei Comp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Weihai Guangwei for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Weihai Guangwei Comp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Weihai Guangwei Comp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Weihai Guangwei Comp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 41.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Carbon Fiber in Sports Equipment Market Size, Share and Trends Report 2024-2032 - Libero

Other Information on Investing in Weihai Stock

Weihai Guangwei financial ratios help investors to determine whether Weihai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Weihai with respect to the benefits of owning Weihai Guangwei security.