LARGAN Precision (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2412.33

3008 Stock  TWD 2,380  15.00  0.63%   
LARGAN Precision's future price is the expected price of LARGAN Precision instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of LARGAN Precision Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out LARGAN Precision Backtesting, LARGAN Precision Valuation, LARGAN Precision Correlation, LARGAN Precision Hype Analysis, LARGAN Precision Volatility, LARGAN Precision History as well as LARGAN Precision Performance.
  
Please specify LARGAN Precision's target price for which you would like LARGAN Precision odds to be computed.

LARGAN Precision Target Price Odds to finish over 2412.33

The tendency of LARGAN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over NT$ 2,412  or more in 90 days
 2,380 90 days 2,412 
about 74.15
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LARGAN Precision to move over NT$ 2,412  or more in 90 days from now is about 74.15 (This LARGAN Precision Co probability density function shows the probability of LARGAN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LARGAN Precision price to stay between its current price of NT$ 2,380  and NT$ 2,412  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon LARGAN Precision has a beta of 0.33. This suggests as returns on the market go up, LARGAN Precision average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding LARGAN Precision Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally LARGAN Precision Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   LARGAN Precision Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for LARGAN Precision

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LARGAN Precision. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,3782,3802,382
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,1432,1452,618
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2,4102,4122,415
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2,2112,3882,564
Details

LARGAN Precision Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LARGAN Precision is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LARGAN Precision's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LARGAN Precision Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LARGAN Precision within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.33
σ
Overall volatility
261.43
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

LARGAN Precision Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LARGAN Precision for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LARGAN Precision can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
LARGAN Precision generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 28.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

LARGAN Precision Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LARGAN Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LARGAN Precision's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LARGAN Precision's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding133.5 M

LARGAN Precision Technical Analysis

LARGAN Precision's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LARGAN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LARGAN Precision Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing LARGAN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

LARGAN Precision Predictive Forecast Models

LARGAN Precision's time-series forecasting models is one of many LARGAN Precision's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LARGAN Precision's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about LARGAN Precision

Checking the ongoing alerts about LARGAN Precision for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LARGAN Precision help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
LARGAN Precision generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 28.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for LARGAN Stock Analysis

When running LARGAN Precision's price analysis, check to measure LARGAN Precision's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LARGAN Precision is operating at the current time. Most of LARGAN Precision's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LARGAN Precision's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LARGAN Precision's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LARGAN Precision to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.