Eit Environmental (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14.92

300815 Stock   15.56  0.02  0.13%   
Eit Environmental's future price is the expected price of Eit Environmental instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Eit Environmental Development performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Eit Environmental Backtesting, Eit Environmental Valuation, Eit Environmental Correlation, Eit Environmental Hype Analysis, Eit Environmental Volatility, Eit Environmental History as well as Eit Environmental Performance.
  
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Eit Environmental Target Price Odds to finish over 14.92

The tendency of Eit Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  14.92  in 90 days
 15.56 90 days 14.92 
about 31.43
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Eit Environmental to stay above  14.92  in 90 days from now is about 31.43 (This Eit Environmental Development probability density function shows the probability of Eit Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Eit Environmental price to stay between  14.92  and its current price of 15.56 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.78 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Eit Environmental has a beta of 0.28. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Eit Environmental average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Eit Environmental Development will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Eit Environmental Development has an alpha of 0.464, implying that it can generate a 0.46 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Eit Environmental Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Eit Environmental

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eit Environmental. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.2015.5619.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.7815.1419.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.2914.6519.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.390.450.52
Details

Eit Environmental Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Eit Environmental is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Eit Environmental's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Eit Environmental Development, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Eit Environmental within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.46
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.28
σ
Overall volatility
2.13
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Eit Environmental Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Eit Environmental for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Eit Environmental can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Eit Environmental appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Eit Environmental Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Eit Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Eit Environmental's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Eit Environmental's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding398.6 M

Eit Environmental Technical Analysis

Eit Environmental's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Eit Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Eit Environmental Development. In general, you should focus on analyzing Eit Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Eit Environmental Predictive Forecast Models

Eit Environmental's time-series forecasting models is one of many Eit Environmental's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Eit Environmental's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Eit Environmental

Checking the ongoing alerts about Eit Environmental for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Eit Environmental help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Eit Environmental appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Eit Stock

Eit Environmental financial ratios help investors to determine whether Eit Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Eit with respect to the benefits of owning Eit Environmental security.