Anker Innovations (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 91.47

300866 Stock   97.52  1.39  1.45%   
Anker Innovations' future price is the expected price of Anker Innovations instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Anker Innovations Technology performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Anker Innovations Backtesting, Anker Innovations Valuation, Anker Innovations Correlation, Anker Innovations Hype Analysis, Anker Innovations Volatility, Anker Innovations History as well as Anker Innovations Performance.
  
Please specify Anker Innovations' target price for which you would like Anker Innovations odds to be computed.

Anker Innovations Target Price Odds to finish below 91.47

The tendency of Anker Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  91.47  or more in 90 days
 97.52 90 days 91.47 
about 86.42
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Anker Innovations to drop to  91.47  or more in 90 days from now is about 86.42 (This Anker Innovations Technology probability density function shows the probability of Anker Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Anker Innovations price to stay between  91.47  and its current price of 97.52 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.15 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Anker Innovations Technology has a beta of -0.38. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Anker Innovations are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Anker Innovations Technology is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Anker Innovations Technology has an alpha of 0.5763, implying that it can generate a 0.58 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Anker Innovations Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Anker Innovations

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Anker Innovations. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
93.9197.31100.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
73.3576.75107.27
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.890.930.98
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Anker Innovations. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Anker Innovations' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Anker Innovations' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Anker Innovations.

Anker Innovations Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Anker Innovations is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Anker Innovations' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Anker Innovations Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Anker Innovations within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.58
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.38
σ
Overall volatility
6.83
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Anker Innovations Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Anker Innovations for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Anker Innovations can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Anker Innovations had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Anker Innovations Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Anker Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Anker Innovations' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Anker Innovations' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding407.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.6 B

Anker Innovations Technical Analysis

Anker Innovations' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Anker Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Anker Innovations Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Anker Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Anker Innovations Predictive Forecast Models

Anker Innovations' time-series forecasting models is one of many Anker Innovations' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Anker Innovations' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Anker Innovations

Checking the ongoing alerts about Anker Innovations for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Anker Innovations help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Anker Innovations had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Anker Stock

Anker Innovations financial ratios help investors to determine whether Anker Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Anker with respect to the benefits of owning Anker Innovations security.