Wintao Communications (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 24.87
| 301139 Stock | 25.61 0.36 1.43% |
Wintao |
Wintao Communications Target Price Odds to finish below 24.87
The tendency of Wintao Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 24.87 or more in 90 days |
| 25.61 | 90 days | 24.87 | about 85.36 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wintao Communications to drop to 24.87 or more in 90 days from now is about 85.36 (This Wintao Communications Co probability density function shows the probability of Wintao Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wintao Communications price to stay between 24.87 and its current price of 25.61 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.05 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Wintao Communications Co has a beta of -0.16. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Wintao Communications are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Wintao Communications Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Wintao Communications Co has an alpha of 0.4468, implying that it can generate a 0.45 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Wintao Communications Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Wintao Communications
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wintao Communications. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Wintao Communications Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wintao Communications is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wintao Communications' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wintao Communications Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wintao Communications within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.45 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Wintao Communications Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wintao Communications for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wintao Communications can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Wintao Communications appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Wintao Communications is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Wintao Communications generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 50.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Wintao Communications Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wintao Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wintao Communications' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wintao Communications' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 121.6 M |
Wintao Communications Technical Analysis
Wintao Communications' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wintao Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wintao Communications Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wintao Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Wintao Communications Predictive Forecast Models
Wintao Communications' time-series forecasting models is one of many Wintao Communications' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wintao Communications' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Wintao Communications
Checking the ongoing alerts about Wintao Communications for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wintao Communications help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Wintao Communications appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Wintao Communications is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Wintao Communications generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 50.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Wintao Stock
Wintao Communications financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wintao Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wintao with respect to the benefits of owning Wintao Communications security.