Guangdong TianYiMa (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 27.2
| 301178 Stock | 27.35 0.65 2.32% |
Guangdong |
Guangdong TianYiMa Target Price Odds to finish below 27.2
The tendency of Guangdong Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 27.20 or more in 90 days |
| 27.35 | 90 days | 27.20 | about 18.2 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Guangdong TianYiMa to drop to 27.20 or more in 90 days from now is about 18.2 (This Guangdong TianYiMa Information probability density function shows the probability of Guangdong Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Guangdong TianYiMa price to stay between 27.20 and its current price of 27.35 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.45 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.86 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Guangdong TianYiMa will likely underperform. Additionally Guangdong TianYiMa Information has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Guangdong TianYiMa Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Guangdong TianYiMa
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guangdong TianYiMa. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Guangdong TianYiMa Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Guangdong TianYiMa is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Guangdong TianYiMa's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Guangdong TianYiMa Information, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Guangdong TianYiMa within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.86 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.81 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Guangdong TianYiMa Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Guangdong TianYiMa for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Guangdong TianYiMa can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Guangdong TianYiMa is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Guangdong TianYiMa generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Guangdong TianYiMa has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Guangdong TianYiMa has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Guangdong TianYiMa Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Guangdong Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Guangdong TianYiMa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Guangdong TianYiMa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 67.2 M |
Guangdong TianYiMa Technical Analysis
Guangdong TianYiMa's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Guangdong Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Guangdong TianYiMa Information. In general, you should focus on analyzing Guangdong Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Guangdong TianYiMa Predictive Forecast Models
Guangdong TianYiMa's time-series forecasting models is one of many Guangdong TianYiMa's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Guangdong TianYiMa's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Guangdong TianYiMa
Checking the ongoing alerts about Guangdong TianYiMa for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Guangdong TianYiMa help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Guangdong TianYiMa is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Guangdong TianYiMa generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Guangdong TianYiMa has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Guangdong TianYiMa has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Guangdong Stock
Guangdong TianYiMa financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guangdong Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guangdong with respect to the benefits of owning Guangdong TianYiMa security.