ISoftStone Information (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 63.04
| 301236 Stock | 66.18 4.72 7.68% |
ISoftStone |
ISoftStone Information Target Price Odds to finish over 63.04
The tendency of ISoftStone Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 63.04 in 90 days |
| 66.18 | 90 days | 63.04 | about 28.84 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ISoftStone Information to stay above 63.04 in 90 days from now is about 28.84 (This iSoftStone Information Technology probability density function shows the probability of ISoftStone Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of iSoftStone Information price to stay between 63.04 and its current price of 66.18 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.25 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ISoftStone Information has a beta of 0.19. This suggests as returns on the market go up, ISoftStone Information average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding iSoftStone Information Technology will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover ISoftStone Information Technology has an alpha of 1.199, implying that it can generate a 1.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). ISoftStone Information Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ISoftStone Information
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as iSoftStone Information. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ISoftStone Information Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ISoftStone Information is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ISoftStone Information's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold iSoftStone Information Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ISoftStone Information within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.20 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 13.76 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
ISoftStone Information Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ISoftStone Information for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for iSoftStone Information can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ISoftStone Information is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| ISoftStone Information appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| ISoftStone Information is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 44.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Ningbo GQY Video Telecoms growing losses dont faze investors as the stock swells 16 percent this past week - Simply Wall St |
ISoftStone Information Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ISoftStone Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ISoftStone Information's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ISoftStone Information's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 952.9 M |
ISoftStone Information Technical Analysis
ISoftStone Information's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ISoftStone Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of iSoftStone Information Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing ISoftStone Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ISoftStone Information Predictive Forecast Models
ISoftStone Information's time-series forecasting models is one of many ISoftStone Information's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ISoftStone Information's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about iSoftStone Information
Checking the ongoing alerts about ISoftStone Information for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for iSoftStone Information help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ISoftStone Information is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| ISoftStone Information appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| ISoftStone Information is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 44.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Ningbo GQY Video Telecoms growing losses dont faze investors as the stock swells 16 percent this past week - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in ISoftStone Stock
ISoftStone Information financial ratios help investors to determine whether ISoftStone Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ISoftStone with respect to the benefits of owning ISoftStone Information security.