Ziel Home (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 24.23

301376 Stock   21.06  1.24  6.26%   
Ziel Home's future price is the expected price of Ziel Home instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ziel Home Furnishing performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ziel Home Backtesting, Ziel Home Valuation, Ziel Home Correlation, Ziel Home Hype Analysis, Ziel Home Volatility, Ziel Home History as well as Ziel Home Performance.
  
Please specify Ziel Home's target price for which you would like Ziel Home odds to be computed.

Ziel Home Target Price Odds to finish over 24.23

The tendency of Ziel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  24.23  or more in 90 days
 21.06 90 days 24.23 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ziel Home to move over  24.23  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Ziel Home Furnishing probability density function shows the probability of Ziel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ziel Home Furnishing price to stay between its current price of  21.06  and  24.23  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.71 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ziel Home Furnishing has a beta of -0.55. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ziel Home are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ziel Home Furnishing is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ziel Home Furnishing has an alpha of 0.2976, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ziel Home Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ziel Home

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ziel Home Furnishing. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.5421.0624.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.4416.9623.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.9021.4224.94
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.370.420.47
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ziel Home. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ziel Home's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ziel Home's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ziel Home Furnishing.

Ziel Home Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ziel Home is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ziel Home's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ziel Home Furnishing, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ziel Home within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.30
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.55
σ
Overall volatility
1.33
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Ziel Home Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ziel Home for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ziel Home Furnishing can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ziel Home Furnishing had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 79.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Ziel Home Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ziel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ziel Home's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ziel Home's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0251

Ziel Home Technical Analysis

Ziel Home's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ziel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ziel Home Furnishing. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ziel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ziel Home Predictive Forecast Models

Ziel Home's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ziel Home's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ziel Home's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ziel Home Furnishing

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ziel Home for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ziel Home Furnishing help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ziel Home Furnishing had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 79.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Ziel Stock

Ziel Home financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ziel Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ziel with respect to the benefits of owning Ziel Home security.