Bright Led (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.41
| 3031 Stock | TWD 21.15 0.50 2.31% |
Bright |
Bright Led Target Price Odds to finish below 7.41
The tendency of Bright Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 7.41 or more in 90 days |
| 21.15 | 90 days | 7.41 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bright Led to drop to NT$ 7.41 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Bright Led Electronics probability density function shows the probability of Bright Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bright Led Electronics price to stay between NT$ 7.41 and its current price of NT$21.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.34 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bright Led has a beta of 0.0945. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Bright Led average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bright Led Electronics will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bright Led Electronics has an alpha of 0.0447, implying that it can generate a 0.0447 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Bright Led Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bright Led
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bright Led Electronics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bright Led Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bright Led is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bright Led's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bright Led Electronics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bright Led within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Bright Led Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bright Led for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bright Led Electronics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bright Led had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Bright Led Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bright Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bright Led's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bright Led's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 173.2 M |
Bright Led Technical Analysis
Bright Led's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bright Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bright Led Electronics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bright Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bright Led Predictive Forecast Models
Bright Led's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bright Led's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bright Led's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bright Led Electronics
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bright Led for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bright Led Electronics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bright Led had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Bright Stock Analysis
When running Bright Led's price analysis, check to measure Bright Led's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bright Led is operating at the current time. Most of Bright Led's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bright Led's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bright Led's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bright Led to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.