Weikeng Industrial (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 34.15

3033 Stock  TWD 34.15  0.30  0.87%   
Weikeng Industrial's future price is the expected price of Weikeng Industrial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Weikeng Industrial Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Weikeng Industrial Backtesting, Weikeng Industrial Valuation, Weikeng Industrial Correlation, Weikeng Industrial Hype Analysis, Weikeng Industrial Volatility, Weikeng Industrial History as well as Weikeng Industrial Performance.
  
Please specify Weikeng Industrial's target price for which you would like Weikeng Industrial odds to be computed.

Weikeng Industrial Target Price Odds to finish below 34.15

The tendency of Weikeng Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 34.15 90 days 34.15 
about 13.76
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Weikeng Industrial to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 13.76 (This Weikeng Industrial Co probability density function shows the probability of Weikeng Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Weikeng Industrial has a beta of 0.41. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Weikeng Industrial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Weikeng Industrial Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Weikeng Industrial Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Weikeng Industrial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Weikeng Industrial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Weikeng Industrial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.1334.1535.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.5834.6035.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
32.4633.4834.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
33.8635.0136.16
Details

Weikeng Industrial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Weikeng Industrial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Weikeng Industrial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Weikeng Industrial Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Weikeng Industrial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.41
σ
Overall volatility
0.65
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Weikeng Industrial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Weikeng Industrial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Weikeng Industrial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Weikeng Industrial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Weikeng Industrial has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Weikeng Industrial Co has accumulated about 1.66 B in cash with (708.66 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.8.
Roughly 17.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Weikeng Industrial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Weikeng Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Weikeng Industrial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Weikeng Industrial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding399.1 M

Weikeng Industrial Technical Analysis

Weikeng Industrial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Weikeng Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Weikeng Industrial Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Weikeng Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Weikeng Industrial Predictive Forecast Models

Weikeng Industrial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Weikeng Industrial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Weikeng Industrial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Weikeng Industrial

Checking the ongoing alerts about Weikeng Industrial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Weikeng Industrial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Weikeng Industrial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Weikeng Industrial has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Weikeng Industrial Co has accumulated about 1.66 B in cash with (708.66 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.8.
Roughly 17.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for Weikeng Stock Analysis

When running Weikeng Industrial's price analysis, check to measure Weikeng Industrial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Weikeng Industrial is operating at the current time. Most of Weikeng Industrial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Weikeng Industrial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Weikeng Industrial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Weikeng Industrial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.