Powercom (Taiwan) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 30.75
| 3043 Stock | TWD 32.70 0.60 1.87% |
Powercom |
Powercom Target Price Odds to finish below 30.75
The tendency of Powercom Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 30.75 or more in 90 days |
| 32.70 | 90 days | 30.75 | about 26.06 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Powercom to drop to NT$ 30.75 or more in 90 days from now is about 26.06 (This Powercom Co probability density function shows the probability of Powercom Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Powercom price to stay between NT$ 30.75 and its current price of NT$32.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 56.62 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Powercom Co has a beta of -0.0565. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Powercom are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Powercom Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Powercom Co has an alpha of 0.1045, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Powercom Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Powercom
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Powercom. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Powercom Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Powercom is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Powercom's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Powercom Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Powercom within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.10 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Powercom Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Powercom for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Powercom can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Powercom Co has accumulated 110.43 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.46, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Powercom has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Powercom until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Powercom's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Powercom sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Powercom to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Powercom's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Powercom Co has accumulated about 71.15 M in cash with (33 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.32. | |
| Roughly 17.0% of Powercom shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Powercom Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Powercom Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Powercom's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Powercom's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 194.9 M |
Powercom Technical Analysis
Powercom's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Powercom Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Powercom Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Powercom Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Powercom Predictive Forecast Models
Powercom's time-series forecasting models is one of many Powercom's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Powercom's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Powercom
Checking the ongoing alerts about Powercom for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Powercom help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Powercom Co has accumulated 110.43 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.46, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Powercom has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Powercom until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Powercom's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Powercom sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Powercom to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Powercom's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Powercom Co has accumulated about 71.15 M in cash with (33 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.32. | |
| Roughly 17.0% of Powercom shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Powercom Stock Analysis
When running Powercom's price analysis, check to measure Powercom's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Powercom is operating at the current time. Most of Powercom's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Powercom's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Powercom's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Powercom to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.