Shopify (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 96.35
| 307 Stock | EUR 107.14 2.92 2.80% |
Shopify |
Shopify Target Price Odds to finish below 96.35
The tendency of Shopify Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 96.35 or more in 90 days |
| 107.14 | 90 days | 96.35 | over 95.01 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shopify to drop to € 96.35 or more in 90 days from now is over 95.01 (This Shopify probability density function shows the probability of Shopify Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Shopify price to stay between € 96.35 and its current price of €107.14 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.37 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.05 . This suggests Shopify market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Shopify is expected to follow. Additionally Shopify has an alpha of 0.5799, implying that it can generate a 0.58 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Shopify Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Shopify
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shopify. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Shopify Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shopify is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shopify's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shopify, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shopify within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.58 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 12.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
Shopify Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shopify for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shopify can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Shopify appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 5.6 B. Net Loss for the year was (3.46 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.75 B. | |
| Shopify has accumulated about 6.95 B in cash with (136.45 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.48. | |
| Roughly 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Shopify Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shopify Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shopify's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shopify's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 B |
Shopify Technical Analysis
Shopify's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Shopify Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Shopify. In general, you should focus on analyzing Shopify Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Shopify Predictive Forecast Models
Shopify's time-series forecasting models is one of many Shopify's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shopify's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Shopify
Checking the ongoing alerts about Shopify for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Shopify help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Shopify appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 5.6 B. Net Loss for the year was (3.46 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.75 B. | |
| Shopify has accumulated about 6.95 B in cash with (136.45 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.48. | |
| Roughly 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Shopify Stock
When determining whether Shopify is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Shopify Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Shopify Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Shopify Stock:Check out Shopify Backtesting, Shopify Valuation, Shopify Correlation, Shopify Hype Analysis, Shopify Volatility, Shopify History as well as Shopify Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Shopify Stock please use our How to Invest in Shopify guide.You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.