TechnoPro Holdings (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 20.8

30T Stock  EUR 17.10  0.10  0.58%   
TechnoPro Holdings' future price is the expected price of TechnoPro Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of TechnoPro Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out TechnoPro Holdings Backtesting, TechnoPro Holdings Valuation, TechnoPro Holdings Correlation, TechnoPro Holdings Hype Analysis, TechnoPro Holdings Volatility, TechnoPro Holdings History as well as TechnoPro Holdings Performance.
  
Please specify TechnoPro Holdings' target price for which you would like TechnoPro Holdings odds to be computed.

TechnoPro Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 20.8

The tendency of TechnoPro Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 20.80  or more in 90 days
 17.10 90 days 20.80 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TechnoPro Holdings to move over € 20.80  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This TechnoPro Holdings probability density function shows the probability of TechnoPro Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TechnoPro Holdings price to stay between its current price of € 17.10  and € 20.80  at the end of the 90-day period is about 65.88 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon TechnoPro Holdings has a beta of 0.53. This suggests as returns on the market go up, TechnoPro Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding TechnoPro Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally TechnoPro Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   TechnoPro Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for TechnoPro Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TechnoPro Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.5717.1018.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.7217.2518.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.4316.9718.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.4416.8717.30
Details

TechnoPro Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TechnoPro Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TechnoPro Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TechnoPro Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TechnoPro Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.53
σ
Overall volatility
0.66
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

TechnoPro Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TechnoPro Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TechnoPro Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TechnoPro Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has €14.43 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

TechnoPro Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TechnoPro Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TechnoPro Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TechnoPro Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding107.7 M

TechnoPro Holdings Technical Analysis

TechnoPro Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TechnoPro Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TechnoPro Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing TechnoPro Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

TechnoPro Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

TechnoPro Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many TechnoPro Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TechnoPro Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about TechnoPro Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about TechnoPro Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TechnoPro Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TechnoPro Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has €14.43 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

Other Information on Investing in TechnoPro Stock

TechnoPro Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether TechnoPro Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TechnoPro with respect to the benefits of owning TechnoPro Holdings security.