WIN Semiconductors (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 159.74
| 3105 Stock | TWD 115.50 2.50 2.12% |
WIN |
WIN Semiconductors Target Price Odds to finish below 159.74
The tendency of WIN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under NT$ 159.74 after 90 days |
| 115.50 | 90 days | 159.74 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of WIN Semiconductors to stay under NT$ 159.74 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This WIN Semiconductors probability density function shows the probability of WIN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of WIN Semiconductors price to stay between its current price of NT$ 115.50 and NT$ 159.74 at the end of the 90-day period is more than 94.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon WIN Semiconductors has a beta of 0.3. This suggests as returns on the market go up, WIN Semiconductors average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding WIN Semiconductors will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally WIN Semiconductors has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. WIN Semiconductors Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for WIN Semiconductors
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WIN Semiconductors. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.WIN Semiconductors Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. WIN Semiconductors is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the WIN Semiconductors' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold WIN Semiconductors, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of WIN Semiconductors within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.72 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
WIN Semiconductors Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of WIN Semiconductors for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for WIN Semiconductors can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| WIN Semiconductors generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 19.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
WIN Semiconductors Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of WIN Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential WIN Semiconductors' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. WIN Semiconductors' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 424 M |
WIN Semiconductors Technical Analysis
WIN Semiconductors' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. WIN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of WIN Semiconductors. In general, you should focus on analyzing WIN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
WIN Semiconductors Predictive Forecast Models
WIN Semiconductors' time-series forecasting models is one of many WIN Semiconductors' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary WIN Semiconductors' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about WIN Semiconductors
Checking the ongoing alerts about WIN Semiconductors for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for WIN Semiconductors help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| WIN Semiconductors generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 19.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for WIN Stock Analysis
When running WIN Semiconductors' price analysis, check to measure WIN Semiconductors' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy WIN Semiconductors is operating at the current time. Most of WIN Semiconductors' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of WIN Semiconductors' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move WIN Semiconductors' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of WIN Semiconductors to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.