Western Copper (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.13

31WN Stock  EUR 1.04  0.01  0.97%   
Western Copper's future price is the expected price of Western Copper instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Western Copper and performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Western Copper Backtesting, Western Copper Valuation, Western Copper Correlation, Western Copper Hype Analysis, Western Copper Volatility, Western Copper History as well as Western Copper Performance.
  
Please specify Western Copper's target price for which you would like Western Copper odds to be computed.

Western Copper Target Price Odds to finish below 1.13

The tendency of Western Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 1.13  after 90 days
 1.04 90 days 1.13 
about 92.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Western Copper to stay under € 1.13  after 90 days from now is about 92.08 (This Western Copper and probability density function shows the probability of Western Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Western Copper price to stay between its current price of € 1.04  and € 1.13  at the end of the 90-day period is about 57.89 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Western Copper has a beta of 0.85. This suggests Western Copper and market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Western Copper is expected to follow. Additionally Western Copper and has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Western Copper Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Western Copper

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Western Copper. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.051.044.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.051.064.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.964.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.951.061.17
Details

Western Copper Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Western Copper is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Western Copper's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Western Copper and, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Western Copper within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.85
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Western Copper Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Western Copper for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Western Copper can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Western Copper has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Western Copper had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Western Copper has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (3.71 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Western Copper and has accumulated about 4.1 M in cash with (3.87 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04.
Roughly 16.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Western Copper Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Western Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Western Copper's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Western Copper's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding151.4 M

Western Copper Technical Analysis

Western Copper's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Western Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Western Copper and. In general, you should focus on analyzing Western Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Western Copper Predictive Forecast Models

Western Copper's time-series forecasting models is one of many Western Copper's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Western Copper's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Western Copper

Checking the ongoing alerts about Western Copper for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Western Copper help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Western Copper has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Western Copper had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Western Copper has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (3.71 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Western Copper and has accumulated about 4.1 M in cash with (3.87 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04.
Roughly 16.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Western Stock

When determining whether Western Copper offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Western Copper's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Western Copper And Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Western Copper And Stock:
Check out Western Copper Backtesting, Western Copper Valuation, Western Copper Correlation, Western Copper Hype Analysis, Western Copper Volatility, Western Copper History as well as Western Copper Performance.
You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Western Copper's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Western Copper is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Western Copper's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.