Wintec (Korea) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2935.0

320000 Stock  KRW 2,790  10.00  0.36%   
Wintec's future price is the expected price of Wintec instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wintec Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wintec Backtesting, Wintec Valuation, Wintec Correlation, Wintec Hype Analysis, Wintec Volatility, Wintec History as well as Wintec Performance.
  
Please specify Wintec's target price for which you would like Wintec odds to be computed.

Wintec Target Price Odds to finish below 2935.0

The tendency of Wintec Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under W 2,935  after 90 days
 2,790 90 days 2,935 
about 74.92
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wintec to stay under W 2,935  after 90 days from now is about 74.92 (This Wintec Co probability density function shows the probability of Wintec Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wintec price to stay between its current price of W 2,790  and W 2,935  at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.43 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.07 . This suggests Wintec Co market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Wintec is expected to follow. Additionally Wintec Co has an alpha of 0.0616, implying that it can generate a 0.0616 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Wintec Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wintec

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wintec. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,7862,7902,794
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,4232,4273,069
Details

Wintec Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wintec is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wintec's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wintec Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wintec within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.07
σ
Overall volatility
228.16
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Wintec Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wintec for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wintec can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wintec had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Wintec Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wintec Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wintec's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wintec's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding18.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments11.2 B

Wintec Technical Analysis

Wintec's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wintec Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wintec Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wintec Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wintec Predictive Forecast Models

Wintec's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wintec's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wintec's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wintec

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wintec for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wintec help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wintec had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Wintec Stock

Wintec financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wintec Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wintec with respect to the benefits of owning Wintec security.