KakaoBank Corp (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 22300.0

323410 Stock   22,350  200.00  0.89%   
KakaoBank Corp's future price is the expected price of KakaoBank Corp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of KakaoBank Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out KakaoBank Corp Backtesting, KakaoBank Corp Valuation, KakaoBank Corp Correlation, KakaoBank Corp Hype Analysis, KakaoBank Corp Volatility, KakaoBank Corp History as well as KakaoBank Corp Performance.
  
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KakaoBank Corp Target Price Odds to finish over 22300.0

The tendency of KakaoBank Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  22,300  in 90 days
 22,350 90 days 22,300 
about 18.72
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KakaoBank Corp to stay above  22,300  in 90 days from now is about 18.72 (This KakaoBank Corp probability density function shows the probability of KakaoBank Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KakaoBank Corp price to stay between  22,300  and its current price of 22350.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.72 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon KakaoBank Corp has a beta of 0.16. This suggests as returns on the market go up, KakaoBank Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding KakaoBank Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally KakaoBank Corp has an alpha of 0.0262, implying that it can generate a 0.0262 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   KakaoBank Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for KakaoBank Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KakaoBank Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22,34822,35022,352
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18,36318,36424,585
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23,28923,29123,293
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20,43321,64022,847
Details

KakaoBank Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KakaoBank Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KakaoBank Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KakaoBank Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KakaoBank Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.16
σ
Overall volatility
759.92
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

KakaoBank Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KakaoBank Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KakaoBank Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
KakaoBank Corp generates negative cash flow from operations
About 46.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

KakaoBank Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of KakaoBank Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential KakaoBank Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KakaoBank Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding475.1 M

KakaoBank Corp Technical Analysis

KakaoBank Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KakaoBank Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KakaoBank Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing KakaoBank Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

KakaoBank Corp Predictive Forecast Models

KakaoBank Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many KakaoBank Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KakaoBank Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about KakaoBank Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about KakaoBank Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KakaoBank Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
KakaoBank Corp generates negative cash flow from operations
About 46.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in KakaoBank Stock

KakaoBank Corp financial ratios help investors to determine whether KakaoBank Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KakaoBank with respect to the benefits of owning KakaoBank Corp security.