Vaxcell Bio (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12810.0
| 323990 Stock | KRW 12,810 390.00 2.95% |
Vaxcell |
Vaxcell Bio Target Price Odds to finish below 12810.0
The tendency of Vaxcell Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 12,810 | 90 days | 12,810 | about 25.55 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vaxcell Bio to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 25.55 (This Vaxcell Bio Therapeutics Co probability density function shows the probability of Vaxcell Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vaxcell Bio has a beta of 0.19. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Vaxcell Bio average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vaxcell Bio Therapeutics Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vaxcell Bio Therapeutics Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Vaxcell Bio Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vaxcell Bio
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vaxcell Bio Therapeu. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Vaxcell Bio Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vaxcell Bio is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vaxcell Bio's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vaxcell Bio Therapeutics Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vaxcell Bio within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.34 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1,150 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
Vaxcell Bio Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vaxcell Bio for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vaxcell Bio Therapeu can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vaxcell Bio Therapeu generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Net Loss for the year was (4.76 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (5.39 M). | |
| Vaxcell Bio Therapeutics Co has accumulated about 27.31 B in cash with (4.66 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 14.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Vaxcell Bio Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vaxcell Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vaxcell Bio's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vaxcell Bio's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 27.3 B | |
| Shares Float | 9 M |
Vaxcell Bio Technical Analysis
Vaxcell Bio's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vaxcell Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vaxcell Bio Therapeutics Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vaxcell Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vaxcell Bio Predictive Forecast Models
Vaxcell Bio's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vaxcell Bio's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vaxcell Bio's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vaxcell Bio Therapeu
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vaxcell Bio for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vaxcell Bio Therapeu help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Vaxcell Bio Therapeu generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Net Loss for the year was (4.76 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (5.39 M). | |
| Vaxcell Bio Therapeutics Co has accumulated about 27.31 B in cash with (4.66 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 14.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Vaxcell Stock
Vaxcell Bio financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vaxcell Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vaxcell with respect to the benefits of owning Vaxcell Bio security.