Integrated Service (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 144.34
| 3289 Stock | TWD 145.50 3.00 2.02% |
Integrated |
Integrated Service Target Price Odds to finish below 144.34
The tendency of Integrated Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 144.34 or more in 90 days |
| 145.50 | 90 days | 144.34 | about 6.36 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Integrated Service to drop to NT$ 144.34 or more in 90 days from now is about 6.36 (This Integrated Service Technology probability density function shows the probability of Integrated Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Integrated Service price to stay between NT$ 144.34 and its current price of NT$145.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.03 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Integrated Service has a beta of 0.18. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Integrated Service average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Integrated Service Technology will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Integrated Service Technology has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Integrated Service Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Integrated Service
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Integrated Service. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Integrated Service Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Integrated Service is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Integrated Service's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Integrated Service Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Integrated Service within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 15.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Integrated Service Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Integrated Service for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Integrated Service can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Integrated Service generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Integrated Service has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Integrated Service Technology has accumulated 1.75 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 197.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Integrated Service has a current ratio of 0.71, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Integrated Service until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Integrated Service's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Integrated Service sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Integrated to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Integrated Service's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 16.0% of Integrated Service shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Integrated Service Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Integrated Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Integrated Service's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Integrated Service's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 79.8 M |
Integrated Service Technical Analysis
Integrated Service's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Integrated Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Integrated Service Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Integrated Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Integrated Service Predictive Forecast Models
Integrated Service's time-series forecasting models is one of many Integrated Service's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Integrated Service's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Integrated Service
Checking the ongoing alerts about Integrated Service for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Integrated Service help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Integrated Service generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Integrated Service has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Integrated Service Technology has accumulated 1.75 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 197.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Integrated Service has a current ratio of 0.71, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Integrated Service until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Integrated Service's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Integrated Service sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Integrated to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Integrated Service's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 16.0% of Integrated Service shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Integrated Stock Analysis
When running Integrated Service's price analysis, check to measure Integrated Service's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Integrated Service is operating at the current time. Most of Integrated Service's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Integrated Service's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Integrated Service's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Integrated Service to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.