Laster Tech (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 38.27

3346 Stock   37.40  0.35  0.93%   
Laster Tech's future price is the expected price of Laster Tech instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Laster Tech Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Laster Tech Backtesting, Laster Tech Valuation, Laster Tech Correlation, Laster Tech Hype Analysis, Laster Tech Volatility, Laster Tech History as well as Laster Tech Performance.
  
Please specify Laster Tech's target price for which you would like Laster Tech odds to be computed.

Laster Tech Target Price Odds to finish below 38.27

The tendency of Laster Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  38.27  after 90 days
 37.40 90 days 38.27 
about 52.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Laster Tech to stay under  38.27  after 90 days from now is about 52.08 (This Laster Tech Corp probability density function shows the probability of Laster Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Laster Tech Corp price to stay between its current price of  37.40  and  38.27  at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.82 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Laster Tech has a beta of 0.28. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Laster Tech average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Laster Tech Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Laster Tech Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Laster Tech Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Laster Tech

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Laster Tech Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.9037.4038.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
36.2937.7939.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
35.3436.8438.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
36.7238.3640.01
Details

Laster Tech Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Laster Tech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Laster Tech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Laster Tech Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Laster Tech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0045
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.28
σ
Overall volatility
0.95
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Laster Tech Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Laster Tech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Laster Tech Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Laster Tech generates negative cash flow from operations
About 30.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Laster Tech Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Laster Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Laster Tech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Laster Tech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding97.5 M

Laster Tech Technical Analysis

Laster Tech's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Laster Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Laster Tech Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Laster Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Laster Tech Predictive Forecast Models

Laster Tech's time-series forecasting models is one of many Laster Tech's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Laster Tech's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Laster Tech Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Laster Tech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Laster Tech Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Laster Tech generates negative cash flow from operations
About 30.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for Laster Stock Analysis

When running Laster Tech's price analysis, check to measure Laster Tech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Laster Tech is operating at the current time. Most of Laster Tech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Laster Tech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Laster Tech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Laster Tech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.