Xintec (Taiwan) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 178.91
| 3374 Stock | TWD 200.00 3.00 1.48% |
Xintec |
Xintec Target Price Odds to finish over 178.91
The tendency of Xintec Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above NT$ 178.91 in 90 days |
| 200.00 | 90 days | 178.91 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Xintec to stay above NT$ 178.91 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Xintec probability density function shows the probability of Xintec Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Xintec price to stay between NT$ 178.91 and its current price of NT$200.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.6 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.54 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Xintec will likely underperform. Additionally Xintec has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Xintec Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Xintec
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xintec. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Xintec Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Xintec is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Xintec's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Xintec, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Xintec within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.35 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.54 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 14.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Xintec Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Xintec for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Xintec can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Xintec generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 44.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Xintec Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Xintec Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Xintec's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xintec's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 271.4 M |
Xintec Technical Analysis
Xintec's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Xintec Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Xintec. In general, you should focus on analyzing Xintec Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Xintec Predictive Forecast Models
Xintec's time-series forecasting models is one of many Xintec's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Xintec's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Xintec
Checking the ongoing alerts about Xintec for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Xintec help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Xintec generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 44.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Xintec Stock Analysis
When running Xintec's price analysis, check to measure Xintec's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xintec is operating at the current time. Most of Xintec's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xintec's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xintec's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xintec to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.