Tung Thih (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 98.50

3552 Stock  TWD 98.50  1.50  1.50%   
Tung Thih's future price is the expected price of Tung Thih instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tung Thih Electronic performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Tung Thih Backtesting, Tung Thih Valuation, Tung Thih Correlation, Tung Thih Hype Analysis, Tung Thih Volatility, Tung Thih History as well as Tung Thih Performance.
  
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Tung Thih Target Price Odds to finish over 98.50

The tendency of Tung Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 98.50 90 days 98.50 
about 15.98
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tung Thih to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 15.98 (This Tung Thih Electronic probability density function shows the probability of Tung Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Tung Thih has a beta of 0.19. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Tung Thih average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tung Thih Electronic will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tung Thih Electronic has an alpha of 0.2337, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Tung Thih Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tung Thih

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tung Thih Electronic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
95.1998.50101.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
91.9895.2998.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
91.7495.0498.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
91.89100.37108.85
Details

Tung Thih Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tung Thih is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tung Thih's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tung Thih Electronic, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tung Thih within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.19
σ
Overall volatility
8.41
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Tung Thih Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tung Thih for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tung Thih Electronic can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tung Thih Electronic had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company has NT$505.55 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
About 30.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Tung Thih Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tung Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tung Thih's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tung Thih's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding85.6 M

Tung Thih Technical Analysis

Tung Thih's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tung Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tung Thih Electronic. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tung Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tung Thih Predictive Forecast Models

Tung Thih's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tung Thih's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tung Thih's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Tung Thih Electronic

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tung Thih for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tung Thih Electronic help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tung Thih Electronic had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company has NT$505.55 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
About 30.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for Tung Stock Analysis

When running Tung Thih's price analysis, check to measure Tung Thih's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tung Thih is operating at the current time. Most of Tung Thih's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tung Thih's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tung Thih's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tung Thih to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.