Leadtrend Technology (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 65.75
| 3588 Stock | TWD 70.00 1.20 1.69% |
Leadtrend |
Leadtrend Technology Target Price Odds to finish below 65.75
The tendency of Leadtrend Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 65.75 or more in 90 days |
| 70.00 | 90 days | 65.75 | nearly 4.61 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Leadtrend Technology to drop to NT$ 65.75 or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.61 (This Leadtrend Technology Corp probability density function shows the probability of Leadtrend Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Leadtrend Technology Corp price to stay between NT$ 65.75 and its current price of NT$70.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.61 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Leadtrend Technology has a beta of 0.29. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Leadtrend Technology average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Leadtrend Technology Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Leadtrend Technology Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Leadtrend Technology Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Leadtrend Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Leadtrend Technology Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Leadtrend Technology Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Leadtrend Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Leadtrend Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Leadtrend Technology Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Leadtrend Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Leadtrend Technology Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Leadtrend Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Leadtrend Technology Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Leadtrend Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 32.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Leadtrend Technology Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Leadtrend Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Leadtrend Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Leadtrend Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 52.9 M |
Leadtrend Technology Technical Analysis
Leadtrend Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Leadtrend Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Leadtrend Technology Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Leadtrend Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Leadtrend Technology Predictive Forecast Models
Leadtrend Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Leadtrend Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Leadtrend Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Leadtrend Technology Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Leadtrend Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Leadtrend Technology Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Leadtrend Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 32.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Leadtrend Stock Analysis
When running Leadtrend Technology's price analysis, check to measure Leadtrend Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Leadtrend Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Leadtrend Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Leadtrend Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Leadtrend Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Leadtrend Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.