Arbor Technology (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 45.71
| 3594 Stock | TWD 47.35 0.20 0.42% |
Arbor |
Arbor Technology Target Price Odds to finish below 45.71
The tendency of Arbor Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 45.71 or more in 90 days |
| 47.35 | 90 days | 45.71 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Arbor Technology to drop to NT$ 45.71 or more in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Arbor Technology probability density function shows the probability of Arbor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Arbor Technology price to stay between NT$ 45.71 and its current price of NT$47.35 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.18 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Arbor Technology has a beta of 0.79. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Arbor Technology average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Arbor Technology will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Arbor Technology has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Arbor Technology Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Arbor Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arbor Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Arbor Technology Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Arbor Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Arbor Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Arbor Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Arbor Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.79 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Arbor Technology Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Arbor Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Arbor Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Arbor Technology has accumulated NT$670.95 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| Arbor Technology has accumulated about 470.72 M in cash with (218.18 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 7.63. | |
| Roughly 39.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Arbor Technology Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Arbor Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Arbor Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Arbor Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 72.9 M |
Arbor Technology Technical Analysis
Arbor Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Arbor Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Arbor Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Arbor Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Arbor Technology Predictive Forecast Models
Arbor Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Arbor Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Arbor Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Arbor Technology
Checking the ongoing alerts about Arbor Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Arbor Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Arbor Technology has accumulated NT$670.95 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| Arbor Technology has accumulated about 470.72 M in cash with (218.18 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 7.63. | |
| Roughly 39.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Arbor Stock Analysis
When running Arbor Technology's price analysis, check to measure Arbor Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arbor Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Arbor Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arbor Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arbor Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arbor Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.