GFL ENVIRONM (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 39.62
| 36E Stock | EUR 43.60 0.20 0.46% |
GFL |
GFL ENVIRONM Target Price Odds to finish below 39.62
The tendency of GFL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 39.62 or more in 90 days |
| 43.60 | 90 days | 39.62 | about 74.86 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GFL ENVIRONM to drop to € 39.62 or more in 90 days from now is about 74.86 (This GFL ENVIRONM probability density function shows the probability of GFL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GFL ENVIRONM price to stay between € 39.62 and its current price of €43.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon GFL ENVIRONM has a beta of 0.36. This suggests as returns on the market go up, GFL ENVIRONM average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding GFL ENVIRONM will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally GFL ENVIRONM has an alpha of 0.1388, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). GFL ENVIRONM Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for GFL ENVIRONM
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GFL ENVIRONM. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.GFL ENVIRONM Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GFL ENVIRONM is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GFL ENVIRONM's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GFL ENVIRONM, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GFL ENVIRONM within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
GFL ENVIRONM Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GFL ENVIRONM for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GFL ENVIRONM can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| GFL ENVIRONM has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 6.77 B. Net Loss for the year was (842.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 552.7 M. | |
| Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
GFL ENVIRONM Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GFL Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GFL ENVIRONM's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GFL ENVIRONM's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0016 | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.04 | |
| Shares Float | 239.4 M |
GFL ENVIRONM Technical Analysis
GFL ENVIRONM's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GFL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GFL ENVIRONM. In general, you should focus on analyzing GFL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
GFL ENVIRONM Predictive Forecast Models
GFL ENVIRONM's time-series forecasting models is one of many GFL ENVIRONM's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GFL ENVIRONM's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about GFL ENVIRONM
Checking the ongoing alerts about GFL ENVIRONM for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GFL ENVIRONM help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| GFL ENVIRONM has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 6.77 B. Net Loss for the year was (842.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 552.7 M. | |
| Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Other Information on Investing in GFL Stock
GFL ENVIRONM financial ratios help investors to determine whether GFL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GFL with respect to the benefits of owning GFL ENVIRONM security.