Apollo Medical (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 37.12
| 3AM Stock | EUR 39.80 1.20 3.11% |
Apollo |
Apollo Medical Target Price Odds to finish over 37.12
The tendency of Apollo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 37.12 in 90 days |
| 39.80 | 90 days | 37.12 | about 16.6 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Apollo Medical to stay above € 37.12 in 90 days from now is about 16.6 (This Apollo Medical Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Apollo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Apollo Medical Holdings price to stay between € 37.12 and its current price of €39.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.59 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Apollo Medical Holdings has a beta of -0.0291. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Apollo Medical are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Apollo Medical Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Apollo Medical Holdings has an alpha of 0.1625, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Apollo Medical Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Apollo Medical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Apollo Medical Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Apollo Medical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Apollo Medical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Apollo Medical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Apollo Medical Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Apollo Medical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Apollo Medical Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Apollo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Apollo Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Apollo Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 46.6 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 619 K |
Apollo Medical Technical Analysis
Apollo Medical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Apollo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Apollo Medical Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Apollo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Apollo Medical Predictive Forecast Models
Apollo Medical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Apollo Medical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Apollo Medical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Apollo Medical in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Apollo Medical's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Apollo Medical options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Apollo Stock
Apollo Medical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Apollo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Apollo with respect to the benefits of owning Apollo Medical security.