Bosideng International (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.52

3BD Stock  EUR 0.49  0.04  7.55%   
Bosideng International's future price is the expected price of Bosideng International instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bosideng International Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bosideng International Backtesting, Bosideng International Valuation, Bosideng International Correlation, Bosideng International Hype Analysis, Bosideng International Volatility, Bosideng International History as well as Bosideng International Performance.
  
Please specify Bosideng International's target price for which you would like Bosideng International odds to be computed.

Bosideng International Target Price Odds to finish below 0.52

The tendency of Bosideng Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 0.52  after 90 days
 0.49 90 days 0.52 
about 61.95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bosideng International to stay under € 0.52  after 90 days from now is about 61.95 (This Bosideng International Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Bosideng Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bosideng International price to stay between its current price of € 0.49  and € 0.52  at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.17 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Bosideng International has a beta of 0.0769. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Bosideng International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bosideng International Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bosideng International Holdings has an alpha of 0.3725, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Bosideng International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bosideng International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bosideng International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.534.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.474.40
Details

Bosideng International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bosideng International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bosideng International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bosideng International Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bosideng International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.37
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Bosideng International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bosideng International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bosideng International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bosideng International has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Bosideng International had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Bosideng International Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bosideng Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bosideng International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bosideng International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding10.9 B

Bosideng International Technical Analysis

Bosideng International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bosideng Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bosideng International Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bosideng Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bosideng International Predictive Forecast Models

Bosideng International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bosideng International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bosideng International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bosideng International

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bosideng International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bosideng International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bosideng International has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Bosideng International had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Bosideng Stock

Bosideng International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bosideng Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bosideng with respect to the benefits of owning Bosideng International security.