Nib Holdings (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.21
| 3GU Stock | EUR 3.32 0.04 1.22% |
Nib |
Nib Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 4.21
The tendency of Nib Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 4.21 or more in 90 days |
| 3.32 | 90 days | 4.21 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nib Holdings to move over € 4.21 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This nib holdings limited probability density function shows the probability of Nib Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of nib holdings limited price to stay between its current price of € 3.32 and € 4.21 at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.83 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Nib Holdings has a beta of 0.72. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Nib Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding nib holdings limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nib holdings limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Nib Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Nib Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as nib holdings limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Nib Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nib Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nib Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold nib holdings limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nib Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.72 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Nib Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nib Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nib Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nib Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 459.1 M |
Nib Holdings Technical Analysis
Nib Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nib Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of nib holdings limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nib Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Nib Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Nib Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Nib Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nib Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Nib Holdings in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Nib Holdings' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Nib Holdings options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Nib Stock
Nib Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nib Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nib with respect to the benefits of owning Nib Holdings security.