Live Nation (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 117.80
| 3LN Stock | EUR 131.95 0.05 0.04% |
Live |
Live Nation Target Price Odds to finish below 117.80
The tendency of Live Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 117.80 or more in 90 days |
| 131.95 | 90 days | 117.80 | about 82.16 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Live Nation to drop to € 117.80 or more in 90 days from now is about 82.16 (This Live Nation Entertainment probability density function shows the probability of Live Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Live Nation Entertainment price to stay between € 117.80 and its current price of €131.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.96 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Live Nation has a beta of 0.15. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Live Nation average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Live Nation Entertainment will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Live Nation Entertainment has an alpha of 0.623, implying that it can generate a 0.62 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Live Nation Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Live Nation
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Live Nation Entertainment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Live Nation Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Live Nation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Live Nation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Live Nation Entertainment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Live Nation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.62 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 14.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.28 |
Live Nation Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Live Nation for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Live Nation Entertainment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Live Nation has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Live Nation Entertainment has accumulated 5.28 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 251.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Live Nation Entertainment has a current ratio of 0.92, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Live Nation until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Live Nation's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Live Nation Entertainment sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Live to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Live Nation's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 72.0% of Live Nation shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Live Nation Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Live Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Live Nation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Live Nation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 231.3 M |
Live Nation Technical Analysis
Live Nation's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Live Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Live Nation Entertainment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Live Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Live Nation Predictive Forecast Models
Live Nation's time-series forecasting models is one of many Live Nation's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Live Nation's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Live Nation Entertainment
Checking the ongoing alerts about Live Nation for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Live Nation Entertainment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Live Nation has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Live Nation Entertainment has accumulated 5.28 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 251.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Live Nation Entertainment has a current ratio of 0.92, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Live Nation until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Live Nation's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Live Nation Entertainment sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Live to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Live Nation's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 72.0% of Live Nation shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Live Stock
When determining whether Live Nation Entertainment is a strong investment it is important to analyze Live Nation's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Live Nation's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Live Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Live Nation Backtesting, Live Nation Valuation, Live Nation Correlation, Live Nation Hype Analysis, Live Nation Volatility, Live Nation History as well as Live Nation Performance. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.