Omeros (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.68
| 3O8 Stock | EUR 11.15 0.04 0.36% |
Omeros |
Omeros Target Price Odds to finish below 4.68
The tendency of Omeros Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 4.68 or more in 90 days |
| 11.15 | 90 days | 4.68 | about 55.36 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Omeros to drop to € 4.68 or more in 90 days from now is about 55.36 (This Omeros probability density function shows the probability of Omeros Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Omeros price to stay between € 4.68 and its current price of €11.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.52 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Omeros has a beta of 0.52. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Omeros average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Omeros will be expected to be much smaller as well. In addition to that Omeros has an alpha of 2.0207, implying that it can generate a 2.02 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Omeros Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Omeros
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Omeros. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Omeros Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Omeros is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Omeros' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Omeros, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Omeros within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 2.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.20 |
Omeros Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Omeros for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Omeros can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Omeros is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Omeros appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Omeros has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Omeros has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Omeros has accumulated about 47.22 M in cash with (109.72 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.96. |
Omeros Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Omeros Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Omeros' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Omeros' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 62.6 M |
Omeros Technical Analysis
Omeros' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Omeros Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Omeros. In general, you should focus on analyzing Omeros Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Omeros Predictive Forecast Models
Omeros' time-series forecasting models is one of many Omeros' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Omeros' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Omeros
Checking the ongoing alerts about Omeros for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Omeros help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Omeros is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Omeros appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Omeros has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Omeros has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Omeros has accumulated about 47.22 M in cash with (109.72 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.96. |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Omeros Stock
When determining whether Omeros is a strong investment it is important to analyze Omeros' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Omeros' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Omeros Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Omeros Backtesting, Omeros Valuation, Omeros Correlation, Omeros Hype Analysis, Omeros Volatility, Omeros History as well as Omeros Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Omeros Stock please use our How to Invest in Omeros guide.You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.