TITAN MACHINERY (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.65
| 3TY Stock | EUR 13.70 0.50 3.79% |
TITAN |
TITAN MACHINERY Target Price Odds to finish below 10.65
The tendency of TITAN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 10.65 or more in 90 days |
| 13.70 | 90 days | 10.65 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TITAN MACHINERY to drop to € 10.65 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This TITAN MACHINERY probability density function shows the probability of TITAN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TITAN MACHINERY price to stay between € 10.65 and its current price of €13.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.97 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TITAN MACHINERY has a beta of 0.24. This suggests as returns on the market go up, TITAN MACHINERY average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding TITAN MACHINERY will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally TITAN MACHINERY has an alpha of 0.1698, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). TITAN MACHINERY Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for TITAN MACHINERY
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TITAN MACHINERY. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.TITAN MACHINERY Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TITAN MACHINERY is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TITAN MACHINERY's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TITAN MACHINERY, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TITAN MACHINERY within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.67 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
TITAN MACHINERY Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TITAN MACHINERY for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TITAN MACHINERY can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| TITAN MACHINERY had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
TITAN MACHINERY Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TITAN Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TITAN MACHINERY's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TITAN MACHINERY's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.6 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 141.3 M |
TITAN MACHINERY Technical Analysis
TITAN MACHINERY's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TITAN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TITAN MACHINERY. In general, you should focus on analyzing TITAN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
TITAN MACHINERY Predictive Forecast Models
TITAN MACHINERY's time-series forecasting models is one of many TITAN MACHINERY's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TITAN MACHINERY's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about TITAN MACHINERY
Checking the ongoing alerts about TITAN MACHINERY for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TITAN MACHINERY help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| TITAN MACHINERY had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in TITAN Stock
When determining whether TITAN MACHINERY offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of TITAN MACHINERY's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Titan Machinery Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Titan Machinery Stock:Check out TITAN MACHINERY Backtesting, TITAN MACHINERY Valuation, TITAN MACHINERY Correlation, TITAN MACHINERY Hype Analysis, TITAN MACHINERY Volatility, TITAN MACHINERY History as well as TITAN MACHINERY Performance. For information on how to trade TITAN Stock refer to our How to Trade TITAN Stock guide.You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.