POSBO UNSPADRS/20YC1 (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.9
| 3YB0 Stock | EUR 10.20 0.10 0.97% |
POSBO |
POSBO UNSPADRS/20YC1 Target Price Odds to finish below 10.9
The tendency of POSBO Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 10.90 after 90 days |
| 10.20 | 90 days | 10.90 | about 80.25 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of POSBO UNSPADRS/20YC1 to stay under € 10.90 after 90 days from now is about 80.25 (This POSBO UNSPADRS20YC1 probability density function shows the probability of POSBO Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of POSBO UNSPADRS/20YC1 price to stay between its current price of € 10.20 and € 10.90 at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon POSBO UNSPADRS/20YC1 has a beta of 0.31. This suggests as returns on the market go up, POSBO UNSPADRS/20YC1 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding POSBO UNSPADRS20YC1 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally POSBO UNSPADRS20YC1 has an alpha of 0.1184, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). POSBO UNSPADRS/20YC1 Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for POSBO UNSPADRS/20YC1
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as POSBO UNSPADRS/20YC1. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.POSBO UNSPADRS/20YC1 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. POSBO UNSPADRS/20YC1 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the POSBO UNSPADRS/20YC1's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold POSBO UNSPADRS20YC1, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of POSBO UNSPADRS/20YC1 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.76 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
POSBO UNSPADRS/20YC1 Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of POSBO UNSPADRS/20YC1 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for POSBO UNSPADRS/20YC1 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| POSBO UNSPADRS20YC1 has accumulated about 2.4 T in cash with (868.39 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 518.98, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
POSBO UNSPADRS/20YC1 Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of POSBO Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential POSBO UNSPADRS/20YC1's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. POSBO UNSPADRS/20YC1's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0617 | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.74 | |
| Shares Float | 1.1 B |
POSBO UNSPADRS/20YC1 Technical Analysis
POSBO UNSPADRS/20YC1's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. POSBO Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of POSBO UNSPADRS20YC1. In general, you should focus on analyzing POSBO Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
POSBO UNSPADRS/20YC1 Predictive Forecast Models
POSBO UNSPADRS/20YC1's time-series forecasting models is one of many POSBO UNSPADRS/20YC1's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary POSBO UNSPADRS/20YC1's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about POSBO UNSPADRS/20YC1
Checking the ongoing alerts about POSBO UNSPADRS/20YC1 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for POSBO UNSPADRS/20YC1 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| POSBO UNSPADRS20YC1 has accumulated about 2.4 T in cash with (868.39 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 518.98, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Other Information on Investing in POSBO Stock
POSBO UNSPADRS/20YC1 financial ratios help investors to determine whether POSBO Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in POSBO with respect to the benefits of owning POSBO UNSPADRS/20YC1 security.