Konan Technology (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 25,686

402030 Stock   19,340  800.00  4.31%   
Konan Technology's future price is the expected price of Konan Technology instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Konan Technology performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Konan Technology Backtesting, Konan Technology Valuation, Konan Technology Correlation, Konan Technology Hype Analysis, Konan Technology Volatility, Konan Technology History as well as Konan Technology Performance.
  
Please specify Konan Technology's target price for which you would like Konan Technology odds to be computed.

Konan Technology Target Price Odds to finish below 25,686

The tendency of Konan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 19,340 90 days 19,340 
about 72.21
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Konan Technology to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 72.21 (This Konan Technology probability density function shows the probability of Konan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.65 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Konan Technology will likely underperform. Additionally Konan Technology has an alpha of 0.2907, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Konan Technology Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Konan Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Konan Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19,33519,34019,345
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16,32216,32821,274
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15,52015,52515,530
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10,31617,52124,725
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Konan Technology. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Konan Technology's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Konan Technology's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Konan Technology.

Konan Technology Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Konan Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Konan Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Konan Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Konan Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.65
σ
Overall volatility
3,614
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Konan Technology Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Konan Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Konan Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Konan Technology is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Konan Technology appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Konan Technology Technical Analysis

Konan Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Konan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Konan Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Konan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Konan Technology Predictive Forecast Models

Konan Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Konan Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Konan Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Konan Technology

Checking the ongoing alerts about Konan Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Konan Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Konan Technology is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Konan Technology appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Other Information on Investing in Konan Stock

Konan Technology financial ratios help investors to determine whether Konan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Konan with respect to the benefits of owning Konan Technology security.