Phytohealth Corp (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.75
| 4108 Stock | TWD 16.20 0.05 0.31% |
Phytohealth |
Phytohealth Corp Target Price Odds to finish over 16.75
The tendency of Phytohealth Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over NT$ 16.75 or more in 90 days |
| 16.20 | 90 days | 16.75 | about 85.46 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Phytohealth Corp to move over NT$ 16.75 or more in 90 days from now is about 85.46 (This Phytohealth Corp probability density function shows the probability of Phytohealth Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Phytohealth Corp price to stay between its current price of NT$ 16.20 and NT$ 16.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.18 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Phytohealth Corp has a beta of 0.23. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Phytohealth Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Phytohealth Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Phytohealth Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Phytohealth Corp Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Phytohealth Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Phytohealth Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Phytohealth Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Phytohealth Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Phytohealth Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Phytohealth Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Phytohealth Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.27 |
Phytohealth Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Phytohealth Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Phytohealth Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Phytohealth Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 168.94 M. Net Loss for the year was (77.72 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 78.31 M. | |
| Phytohealth Corp has accumulated about 836.06 M in cash with (68.24 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.11. | |
| Roughly 24.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Phytohealth Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Phytohealth Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Phytohealth Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Phytohealth Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 198.6 M |
Phytohealth Corp Technical Analysis
Phytohealth Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Phytohealth Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Phytohealth Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Phytohealth Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Phytohealth Corp Predictive Forecast Models
Phytohealth Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Phytohealth Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Phytohealth Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Phytohealth Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Phytohealth Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Phytohealth Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Phytohealth Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 168.94 M. Net Loss for the year was (77.72 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 78.31 M. | |
| Phytohealth Corp has accumulated about 836.06 M in cash with (68.24 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.11. | |
| Roughly 24.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Phytohealth Stock Analysis
When running Phytohealth Corp's price analysis, check to measure Phytohealth Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Phytohealth Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Phytohealth Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Phytohealth Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Phytohealth Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Phytohealth Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.