BRAEMAR HOTELS (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.66
| 42V Stock | EUR 3.24 0.06 1.89% |
BRAEMAR |
BRAEMAR HOTELS Target Price Odds to finish below 2.66
The tendency of BRAEMAR Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 2.66 or more in 90 days |
| 3.24 | 90 days | 2.66 | about 46.66 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BRAEMAR HOTELS to drop to € 2.66 or more in 90 days from now is about 46.66 (This BRAEMAR HOTELS RES probability density function shows the probability of BRAEMAR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BRAEMAR HOTELS RES price to stay between € 2.66 and its current price of €3.24 at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.93 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon BRAEMAR HOTELS RES has a beta of -0.53. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding BRAEMAR HOTELS are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, BRAEMAR HOTELS RES is likely to outperform the market. Additionally BRAEMAR HOTELS RES has an alpha of 0.6213, implying that it can generate a 0.62 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). BRAEMAR HOTELS Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BRAEMAR HOTELS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BRAEMAR HOTELS RES. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BRAEMAR HOTELS Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BRAEMAR HOTELS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BRAEMAR HOTELS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BRAEMAR HOTELS RES, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BRAEMAR HOTELS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.62 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
BRAEMAR HOTELS Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BRAEMAR HOTELS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BRAEMAR HOTELS RES can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BRAEMAR HOTELS RES is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| BRAEMAR HOTELS RES appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| BRAEMAR HOTELS RES has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 628.1 M. Net Loss for the year was (110.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 109.27 M. | |
| BRAEMAR HOTELS RES has accumulated about 85.68 M in cash with (37.45 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.81. | |
| Roughly 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
BRAEMAR HOTELS Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BRAEMAR Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BRAEMAR HOTELS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BRAEMAR HOTELS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0391 | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.19 | |
| Shares Float | 56.4 M |
BRAEMAR HOTELS Technical Analysis
BRAEMAR HOTELS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BRAEMAR Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BRAEMAR HOTELS RES. In general, you should focus on analyzing BRAEMAR Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BRAEMAR HOTELS Predictive Forecast Models
BRAEMAR HOTELS's time-series forecasting models is one of many BRAEMAR HOTELS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BRAEMAR HOTELS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BRAEMAR HOTELS RES
Checking the ongoing alerts about BRAEMAR HOTELS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BRAEMAR HOTELS RES help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BRAEMAR HOTELS RES is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| BRAEMAR HOTELS RES appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| BRAEMAR HOTELS RES has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 628.1 M. Net Loss for the year was (110.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 109.27 M. | |
| BRAEMAR HOTELS RES has accumulated about 85.68 M in cash with (37.45 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.81. | |
| Roughly 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Other Information on Investing in BRAEMAR Stock
BRAEMAR HOTELS financial ratios help investors to determine whether BRAEMAR Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BRAEMAR with respect to the benefits of owning BRAEMAR HOTELS security.