ACE NASDAQ100 (Korea) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 13,468
| 438100 Etf | 13,485 15.00 0.11% |
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ACE NASDAQ100 Target Price Odds to finish below 13,468
The tendency of ACE Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 13,485 | 90 days | 13,485 | roughly 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ACE NASDAQ100 to move below current price in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This ACE NASDAQ100 3070 probability density function shows the probability of ACE Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ACE NASDAQ100 has a beta of 0.2. This suggests as returns on the market go up, ACE NASDAQ100 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ACE NASDAQ100 3070 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ACE NASDAQ100 3070 has an alpha of 0.157, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). ACE NASDAQ100 Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for ACE NASDAQ100
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ACE NASDAQ100 3070. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ACE NASDAQ100 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ACE NASDAQ100 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ACE NASDAQ100's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ACE NASDAQ100 3070, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ACE NASDAQ100 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 454.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
ACE NASDAQ100 Technical Analysis
ACE NASDAQ100's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ACE Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ACE NASDAQ100 3070. In general, you should focus on analyzing ACE Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ACE NASDAQ100 Predictive Forecast Models
ACE NASDAQ100's time-series forecasting models is one of many ACE NASDAQ100's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ACE NASDAQ100's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards ACE NASDAQ100 in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, ACE NASDAQ100's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from ACE NASDAQ100 options trading.