Yusin Holding (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 138.5

4557 Stock  TWD 137.50  2.00  1.48%   
Yusin Holding's future price is the expected price of Yusin Holding instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Yusin Holding Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Yusin Holding Backtesting, Yusin Holding Valuation, Yusin Holding Correlation, Yusin Holding Hype Analysis, Yusin Holding Volatility, Yusin Holding History as well as Yusin Holding Performance.
  
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Yusin Holding Target Price Odds to finish over 138.5

The tendency of Yusin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over NT$ 138.50  or more in 90 days
 137.50 90 days 138.50 
about 18.53
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Yusin Holding to move over NT$ 138.50  or more in 90 days from now is about 18.53 (This Yusin Holding Corp probability density function shows the probability of Yusin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Yusin Holding Corp price to stay between its current price of NT$ 137.50  and NT$ 138.50  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.9 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Yusin Holding has a beta of 0.33. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Yusin Holding average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Yusin Holding Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Yusin Holding Corp has an alpha of 0.309, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Yusin Holding Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Yusin Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yusin Holding Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
133.14135.50137.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
110.10112.46149.05
Details

Yusin Holding Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Yusin Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Yusin Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Yusin Holding Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Yusin Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.33
σ
Overall volatility
9.65
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Yusin Holding Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Yusin Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Yusin Holding Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Yusin Holding Corp has accumulated about 272.43 M in cash with (22.35 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 7.87.
Roughly 40.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Yusin Holding Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Yusin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Yusin Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yusin Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding39.8 M

Yusin Holding Technical Analysis

Yusin Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Yusin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Yusin Holding Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Yusin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Yusin Holding Predictive Forecast Models

Yusin Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Yusin Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Yusin Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Yusin Holding Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Yusin Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Yusin Holding Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Yusin Holding Corp has accumulated about 272.43 M in cash with (22.35 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 7.87.
Roughly 40.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for Yusin Stock Analysis

When running Yusin Holding's price analysis, check to measure Yusin Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Yusin Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Yusin Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Yusin Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Yusin Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Yusin Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.