CrowdStrike Holdings (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 305.18
45C Stock | EUR 343.35 14.90 4.54% |
CrowdStrike |
CrowdStrike Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 305.18
The tendency of CrowdStrike Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 305.18 or more in 90 days |
343.35 | 90 days | 305.18 | about 86.74 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CrowdStrike Holdings to drop to 305.18 or more in 90 days from now is about 86.74 (This CrowdStrike Holdings probability density function shows the probability of CrowdStrike Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CrowdStrike Holdings price to stay between 305.18 and its current price of 343.35 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.23 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon CrowdStrike Holdings has a beta of 0.0318. This suggests as returns on the market go up, CrowdStrike Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CrowdStrike Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CrowdStrike Holdings has an alpha of 0.5517, implying that it can generate a 0.55 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). CrowdStrike Holdings Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for CrowdStrike Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CrowdStrike Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CrowdStrike Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CrowdStrike Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CrowdStrike Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CrowdStrike Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CrowdStrike Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.55 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 31.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
CrowdStrike Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CrowdStrike Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CrowdStrike Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.The company reported the revenue of 1.45 B. Net Loss for the year was (234.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.07 B. | |
About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
CrowdStrike Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CrowdStrike Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CrowdStrike Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CrowdStrike Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 230.7 M |
CrowdStrike Holdings Technical Analysis
CrowdStrike Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CrowdStrike Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CrowdStrike Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing CrowdStrike Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CrowdStrike Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
CrowdStrike Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many CrowdStrike Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CrowdStrike Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CrowdStrike Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about CrowdStrike Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CrowdStrike Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 1.45 B. Net Loss for the year was (234.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.07 B. | |
About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in CrowdStrike Stock
When determining whether CrowdStrike Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze CrowdStrike Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact CrowdStrike Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding CrowdStrike Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out CrowdStrike Holdings Backtesting, CrowdStrike Holdings Valuation, CrowdStrike Holdings Correlation, CrowdStrike Holdings Hype Analysis, CrowdStrike Holdings Volatility, CrowdStrike Holdings History as well as CrowdStrike Holdings Performance. For more detail on how to invest in CrowdStrike Stock please use our How to Invest in CrowdStrike Holdings guide.You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.