Pan Asia (Taiwan) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.82
| 4707 Stock | TWD 14.20 0.05 0.35% |
Pan |
Pan Asia Target Price Odds to finish below 12.82
The tendency of Pan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 12.82 or more in 90 days |
| 14.20 | 90 days | 12.82 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pan Asia to drop to NT$ 12.82 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Pan Asia Chemical probability density function shows the probability of Pan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pan Asia Chemical price to stay between NT$ 12.82 and its current price of NT$14.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.84 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Pan Asia has a beta of 0.0881. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Pan Asia average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pan Asia Chemical will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pan Asia Chemical has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Pan Asia Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Pan Asia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pan Asia Chemical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pan Asia Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pan Asia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pan Asia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pan Asia Chemical, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pan Asia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Pan Asia Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pan Asia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pan Asia Chemical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Pan Asia Chemical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Pan Asia Chemical has accumulated 653 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.46, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Pan Asia Chemical has a current ratio of 0.44, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Pan Asia until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Pan Asia's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Pan Asia Chemical sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Pan to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Pan Asia's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 59.0% of Pan Asia shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Pan Asia Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pan Asia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pan Asia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 328 M |
Pan Asia Technical Analysis
Pan Asia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pan Asia Chemical. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pan Asia Predictive Forecast Models
Pan Asia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pan Asia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pan Asia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pan Asia Chemical
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pan Asia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pan Asia Chemical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Pan Asia Chemical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Pan Asia Chemical has accumulated 653 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.46, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Pan Asia Chemical has a current ratio of 0.44, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Pan Asia until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Pan Asia's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Pan Asia Chemical sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Pan to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Pan Asia's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 59.0% of Pan Asia shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Pan Stock Analysis
When running Pan Asia's price analysis, check to measure Pan Asia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pan Asia is operating at the current time. Most of Pan Asia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pan Asia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pan Asia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pan Asia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.