Cellnex Telecom (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 31.53
| 472 Stock | 33.78 0.81 2.46% |
Cellnex |
Cellnex Telecom Target Price Odds to finish below 31.53
The tendency of Cellnex Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 31.53 or more in 90 days |
| 33.78 | 90 days | 31.53 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cellnex Telecom to drop to 31.53 or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Cellnex Telecom SA probability density function shows the probability of Cellnex Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cellnex Telecom SA price to stay between 31.53 and its current price of 33.78 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.21 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cellnex Telecom has a beta of 0.0147. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Cellnex Telecom average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cellnex Telecom SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cellnex Telecom SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Cellnex Telecom Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cellnex Telecom
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cellnex Telecom SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cellnex Telecom's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cellnex Telecom Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cellnex Telecom is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cellnex Telecom's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cellnex Telecom SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cellnex Telecom within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.67 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Cellnex Telecom Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cellnex Telecom for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cellnex Telecom SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cellnex Telecom SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Cellnex Telecom SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.44 B. Net Loss for the year was (351.37 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. |
Cellnex Telecom Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cellnex Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cellnex Telecom's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cellnex Telecom's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 678.1 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 719.2 M |
Cellnex Telecom Technical Analysis
Cellnex Telecom's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cellnex Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cellnex Telecom SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cellnex Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cellnex Telecom Predictive Forecast Models
Cellnex Telecom's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cellnex Telecom's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cellnex Telecom's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cellnex Telecom SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cellnex Telecom for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cellnex Telecom SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cellnex Telecom SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Cellnex Telecom SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.44 B. Net Loss for the year was (351.37 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. |
Additional Tools for Cellnex Stock Analysis
When running Cellnex Telecom's price analysis, check to measure Cellnex Telecom's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cellnex Telecom is operating at the current time. Most of Cellnex Telecom's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cellnex Telecom's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cellnex Telecom's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cellnex Telecom to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.