APPLE HOSPITALITY (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 14.46
| 48T Stock | EUR 15.08 0.24 1.57% |
APPLE |
APPLE HOSPITALITY Target Price Odds to finish below 14.46
The tendency of APPLE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 14.46 or more in 90 days |
| 15.08 | 90 days | 14.46 | about 76.24 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of APPLE HOSPITALITY to drop to € 14.46 or more in 90 days from now is about 76.24 (This APPLE HOSPITALITY REIT probability density function shows the probability of APPLE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of APPLE HOSPITALITY REIT price to stay between € 14.46 and its current price of €15.08 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.76 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.23 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, APPLE HOSPITALITY will likely underperform. Additionally APPLE HOSPITALITY REIT has an alpha of 0.1716, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). APPLE HOSPITALITY Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for APPLE HOSPITALITY
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as APPLE HOSPITALITY REIT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.APPLE HOSPITALITY Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. APPLE HOSPITALITY is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the APPLE HOSPITALITY's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold APPLE HOSPITALITY REIT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of APPLE HOSPITALITY within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.89 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
APPLE HOSPITALITY Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of APPLE HOSPITALITY for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for APPLE HOSPITALITY REIT can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| APPLE HOSPITALITY has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.19 B. Net Loss for the year was (216.87 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 399.55 M. | |
| APPLE HOSPITALITY REIT has accumulated about 5.81 M in cash with (8.73 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03. | |
| Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
APPLE HOSPITALITY Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of APPLE Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential APPLE HOSPITALITY's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. APPLE HOSPITALITY's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.054 |
APPLE HOSPITALITY Technical Analysis
APPLE HOSPITALITY's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. APPLE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of APPLE HOSPITALITY REIT. In general, you should focus on analyzing APPLE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
APPLE HOSPITALITY Predictive Forecast Models
APPLE HOSPITALITY's time-series forecasting models is one of many APPLE HOSPITALITY's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary APPLE HOSPITALITY's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about APPLE HOSPITALITY REIT
Checking the ongoing alerts about APPLE HOSPITALITY for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for APPLE HOSPITALITY REIT help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| APPLE HOSPITALITY has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.19 B. Net Loss for the year was (216.87 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 399.55 M. | |
| APPLE HOSPITALITY REIT has accumulated about 5.81 M in cash with (8.73 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03. | |
| Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in APPLE Stock
When determining whether APPLE HOSPITALITY REIT is a strong investment it is important to analyze APPLE HOSPITALITY's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact APPLE HOSPITALITY's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding APPLE Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out APPLE HOSPITALITY Backtesting, APPLE HOSPITALITY Valuation, APPLE HOSPITALITY Correlation, APPLE HOSPITALITY Hype Analysis, APPLE HOSPITALITY Volatility, APPLE HOSPITALITY History as well as APPLE HOSPITALITY Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.