BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4 (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.16
| 4BB1 Stock | EUR 3.28 0.08 2.50% |
BUDWEISER |
BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4 Target Price Odds to finish below 0.16
The tendency of BUDWEISER Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 0.16 or more in 90 days |
| 3.28 | 90 days | 0.16 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4 to drop to € 0.16 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR4 probability density function shows the probability of BUDWEISER Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4 price to stay between € 0.16 and its current price of €3.28 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.63 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR4 has a beta of -0.45. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR4 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR4 has an alpha of 0.149, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4 Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR4, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4 Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4 had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR4 has accumulated 278 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.03, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4 has a current ratio of 0.56, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4 until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4 sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for BUDWEISER to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4 Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BUDWEISER Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0107 | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.12 | |
| Shares Float | 417.3 M |
BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4 Technical Analysis
BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BUDWEISER Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR4. In general, you should focus on analyzing BUDWEISER Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4 Predictive Forecast Models
BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4's time-series forecasting models is one of many BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4
Checking the ongoing alerts about BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4 had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR4 has accumulated 278 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.03, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4 has a current ratio of 0.56, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4 until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4 sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for BUDWEISER to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Other Information on Investing in BUDWEISER Stock
BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4 financial ratios help investors to determine whether BUDWEISER Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BUDWEISER with respect to the benefits of owning BUDWEISER BREWUNSPADR/4 security.