National Storage (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 34.93
| 4GC Stock | EUR 40.85 0.56 1.39% |
National |
National Storage Target Price Odds to finish below 34.93
The tendency of National Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 34.93 or more in 90 days |
| 40.85 | 90 days | 34.93 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of National Storage to drop to € 34.93 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This National Storage Affiliates probability density function shows the probability of National Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of National Storage Aff price to stay between € 34.93 and its current price of €40.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 39.97 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.03 . This suggests National Storage Affiliates market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, National Storage is expected to follow. Additionally National Storage Affiliates has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. National Storage Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for National Storage
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as National Storage Aff. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.National Storage Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. National Storage is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the National Storage's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold National Storage Affiliates, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of National Storage within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
National Storage Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of National Storage for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for National Storage Aff can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| National Storage Aff generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| National Storage Affiliates has accumulated 3.06 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.27, which is about average as compared to similar companies. National Storage Aff has a current ratio of 0.9, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist National Storage until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, National Storage's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like National Storage Aff sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for National to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about National Storage's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 87.0% of National Storage shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
National Storage Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of National Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential National Storage's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. National Storage's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 89.8 M |
National Storage Technical Analysis
National Storage's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. National Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of National Storage Affiliates. In general, you should focus on analyzing National Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
National Storage Predictive Forecast Models
National Storage's time-series forecasting models is one of many National Storage's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary National Storage's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about National Storage Aff
Checking the ongoing alerts about National Storage for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for National Storage Aff help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| National Storage Aff generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| National Storage Affiliates has accumulated 3.06 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.27, which is about average as compared to similar companies. National Storage Aff has a current ratio of 0.9, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist National Storage until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, National Storage's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like National Storage Aff sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for National to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about National Storage's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 87.0% of National Storage shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in National Stock
When determining whether National Storage Aff offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of National Storage's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of National Storage Affiliates Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on National Storage Affiliates Stock:Check out National Storage Backtesting, National Storage Valuation, National Storage Correlation, National Storage Hype Analysis, National Storage Volatility, National Storage History as well as National Storage Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.